1971-01-09
By S.M. Ali
Page: 0
ZULFIKAR Ali Bhutto said in Lahore that Punjab and  Sind, the two provinces in the west wing which have  given him maximum support, constitute what he calls "the  bastion of power". And he repeated his assertion that  power in the federal government must be "equally shared"  by the two major parties representing the two wings.  This immediately provoked the secretary general Taj  Uddin Ahmed of the Awami League to declare just what the  rank and file of the party wanted to hear: that with its  east wing absolute majority in the national assembly,  his party was "competent" to frame the constitution and  later to form the government at the centre, "with or  without co-operation from another party".
Few observers could regard these statements as policy  declarations of likely allies whose co-operation is  vital if Pakistan is to have a constitution within 120  days of the first session of the newly-elected national  assembly.
Yet, despite statements which reflect a gradual  hardening of attitudes in the two wings, the case for  cooperation between the Awami League and the PPP  (Pakistan People's Party) is far from shattered. In  fact, as time goes on and the two parties prepare for  the first session of the national assembly probably in  the first week of February - the reasons for developing  maximum possible understanding between the Awami League  and the PPP are likely to get stronger. For Bhutto and  Sheikh Mujibur Rahman there will be no other choice.
The need for this co-operation can best be assessed  only in the context of President Yahya Khan's position  vis-a-vis the constitution and in the overall  perspective of political polarisation in the two wings  of Pakistan.
Indeed, with its absolute majority in the national  assembly, the Awami League is "competent" to obtain the  simple majority vote for any kind of draft it places  before the house. But it is powerless to persuade  President Yahya Khan who, under his Legal Framework  Order, retains the power of veto.
In fact, by now this must be quite clear to Sheikh  Mujib that the president is hardly likely to accept a  draft constitution not actively approved by both the  Awami League and the PPP. It can be argued that the  president can reject a draft constitution that has been  approved by a simple majority in the national assembly -  in other words, by supporters of the Awami LeagueĆ only  at the risk of provoking another mass upsurge in East  Pakistan which could even lead to the break-up of the  country into two or more sovereign states.
However the moderate elements in the country now  pleading for co-operation between Bhutto and Mujib point  out such an upsurge may only suit the army which, now  distinguished from the president, is yet to come to  terms with the new realities in Pakistan's politics. The  army might then take the first opportunity to impose its  own rule - a militant dictatorship of conventional  pattern over the whole country and govern East Pakistan  in its own way as long as it can.
In stating their case for an alliance between Sheikh  Mujib and Bhutto, the moderate elements in the two main  parties have also warned against the danger of the army  making an alliance with the "reactionary vested  interests" in West Pakistan opposed to both the Awami  League's six-point programme and the PPP's call for  drastic socioeconomic reforms.
These warnings may not be totally premature. After  all, all well-informed observers in Dacca know that  emissaries from right wing politicians in West Pakistan,  in their bid to drive a wedge between the League and the  PPP, have already sought to establish their contacts  with Sheikh Mujib, only to be cold-shouldered .
Another group, also representing big business and top  industrialists in West Pakistan, has been trying to  mobilise political forces against the concept of  regional autonomy, in the hope that their campaign will  eventually make co-operation between Bhutto and Mujib  difficult, if not impossible.
Many observers may, therefore, assume that a series of  somewhat negative reasons will provide the basis for  this all-important co-operation between the Awami League  and the PPP. But this is not entirely correct. Although  these negative reasons -- especially the attempts by big  business to thwart the constitutional process and the  role of the army - are of immediate concern, there are  several positive angles to this need for an alliance.  Not only must a constitution be framed; the country must  be given its first popular representative government.  Although the two parties conducted their election  campaigns on somewhat separate issues, they do  complement each other in the overall political context.  Bhutto's socialism and Sheikh Mujib's new social order  can hardly come about without cooperation Whatever  differences the two leaders have over Pakistan's  relations with the outside world, especially with China,  India and the United States, they may eventually prove  to be more a disagreement on emphasis than on  fundamental principle.
Some observers in Lahore feel a coalition between  Bhutto and Mujib would be perfectly acceptable to the  United States as well as to China, both of which, the  observers believe, want to see a stable Pakistan. Almost  certainly India takes the same view.